Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 27 de agosto?
24°C 29%
25°C 26%
23°C 9%
26°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
31%
25°C
26%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 29%
25°C 26%
23°C 9%
26°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
$87 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$120 Vol.
9%
24°C
$167 Vol.
31%
25°C
$329 Vol.
26%
26°C
$189 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$24 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$917Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$917Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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