Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the 56.5% implied probability for that bin. Late-August climatology in the region features subtropical highs with light winds and high humidity, supporting modest daytime warming without strong advection or frontal passages. Recent observational trends show stable sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea and no significant typhoon activity altering steering patterns, keeping ensemble spreads narrow around 31–33°C. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 29 de agosto?
32°C 53%
31°C 26%
33°C 13%
30°C 7%
NOVO
$13,461 Vol.
NOVO
$13,461 Vol.
29 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
53%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 26%
33°C 13%
30°C 7%
NOVO
$13,461 Vol.
NOVO
$13,461 Vol.
29 ago 2026
26°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$894 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,873 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,330 Vol.
26%
32°C
$2,699 Vol.
53%
33°C
$3,016 Vol.
13%
34°C
$1,039 Vol.
2%
35°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the 56.5% implied probability for that bin. Late-August climatology in the region features subtropical highs with light winds and high humidity, supporting modest daytime warming without strong advection or frontal passages. Recent observational trends show stable sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea and no significant typhoon activity altering steering patterns, keeping ensemble spreads narrow around 31–33°C. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,461Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the 56.5% implied probability for that bin. Late-August climatology in the region features subtropical highs with light winds and high humidity, supporting modest daytime warming without strong advection or frontal passages. Recent observational trends show stable sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea and no significant typhoon activity altering steering patterns, keeping ensemble spreads narrow around 31–33°C. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,461Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the 56.5% implied probability for that bin. Late-August climatology in the region features subtropical highs with light winds and high humidity, supporting modest daytime warming without strong advection or frontal passages. Recent observational trends show stable sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea and no significant typhoon activity altering steering patterns, keeping ensemble spreads narrow around 31–33°C. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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