**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project an overnight minimum of 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible and southeast winds under 3 levels. Historical hourly data for the day show a recorded 24-hour range of roughly 27.6–32.4°C, confirming the low stabilized near 27–28°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and minimal diurnal cooling. This positioning stems from Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late summer, where warm, moist air masses and persistent cloud cover suppress radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C further limit temperature drops overnight. Recent days exhibited similar patterns, with lows of 26–28°C, providing climatological precedent that reinforces model agreement. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies that could allow additional cooling toward 26°C or below, or a stronger-than-anticipated northerly flow shifting the air mass. However, current model consensus and ongoing observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution, keeping the 27°C outcome dominant.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 29 de agosto?
27°C 90%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$7,056 Vol.
$7,056 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
90%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 90%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$7,056 Vol.
$7,056 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$212 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$652 Vol.
8%
27°C
$2,976 Vol.
90%
28°C
$2,047 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project an overnight minimum of 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible and southeast winds under 3 levels. Historical hourly data for the day show a recorded 24-hour range of roughly 27.6–32.4°C, confirming the low stabilized near 27–28°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and minimal diurnal cooling.
This positioning stems from Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late summer, where warm, moist air masses and persistent cloud cover suppress radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C further limit temperature drops overnight. Recent days exhibited similar patterns, with lows of 26–28°C, providing climatological precedent that reinforces model agreement.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies that could allow additional cooling toward 26°C or below, or a stronger-than-anticipated northerly flow shifting the air mass. However, current model consensus and ongoing observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution, keeping the 27°C outcome dominant.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,056Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project an overnight minimum of 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible and southeast winds under 3 levels. Historical hourly data for the day show a recorded 24-hour range of roughly 27.6–32.4°C, confirming the low stabilized near 27–28°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and minimal diurnal cooling.
This positioning stems from Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late summer, where warm, moist air masses and persistent cloud cover suppress radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C further limit temperature drops overnight. Recent days exhibited similar patterns, with lows of 26–28°C, providing climatological precedent that reinforces model agreement.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies that could allow additional cooling toward 26°C or below, or a stronger-than-anticipated northerly flow shifting the air mass. However, current model consensus and ongoing observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution, keeping the 27°C outcome dominant.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,056Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C low in Shanghai on August 29, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project an overnight minimum of 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain possible and southeast winds under 3 levels. Historical hourly data for the day show a recorded 24-hour range of roughly 27.6–32.4°C, confirming the low stabilized near 27–28°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and minimal diurnal cooling. This positioning stems from Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late summer, where warm, moist air masses and persistent cloud cover suppress radiative cooling. Dew points near 25–26°C further limit temperature drops overnight. Recent days exhibited similar patterns, with lows of 26–28°C, providing climatological precedent that reinforces model agreement. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies that could allow additional cooling toward 26°C or below, or a stronger-than-anticipated northerly flow shifting the air mass. However, current model consensus and ongoing observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution, keeping the 27°C outcome dominant.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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