Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies show Shanghai's overnight minimum temperature on August 30 stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon environment, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier periods. Current observations and model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the strong market-implied probability around 27°C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require unexpected changes in wind patterns or precipitation intensity. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration is expected ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 30 de agosto?
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
26°C 7%
25°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
76%
28°C
18%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
26°C 7%
25°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$318 Vol.
7%
27°C
$861 Vol.
76%
28°C
$3,660 Vol.
18%
29°C
$69 Vol.
1%
30°C
$7 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies show Shanghai's overnight minimum temperature on August 30 stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon environment, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier periods. Current observations and model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the strong market-implied probability around 27°C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require unexpected changes in wind patterns or precipitation intensity. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration is expected ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,959Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies show Shanghai's overnight minimum temperature on August 30 stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon environment, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier periods. Current observations and model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the strong market-implied probability around 27°C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require unexpected changes in wind patterns or precipitation intensity. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration is expected ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,959Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies show Shanghai's overnight minimum temperature on August 30 stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon environment, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier periods. Current observations and model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the strong market-implied probability around 27°C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require unexpected changes in wind patterns or precipitation intensity. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration is expected ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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