Recent model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to overnight minimum temperatures on September 2 settling near 25–26°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that enhance radiative cooling while limiting daytime heat retention. This positions 25°C and 26°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, with differentiation driven by small variations in forecast dew points near 24°C, wind speeds of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation timing that could shave an extra degree under clearer breaks or hold values higher with humid advection. Early September climatology shows typical lows of 24–27°C, and the tight 38.5%/35% split reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C 26%
23°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
19%
24°C
13%
25°C
31%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
6%
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C 26%
23°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$62 Vol.
19%
24°C
$139 Vol.
13%
25°C
$7 Vol.
31%
26°C
$107 Vol.
35%
27°C
$13 Vol.
26%
28°C
$120 Vol.
5%
29°C
$40 Vol.
14%
30°C
$20 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to overnight minimum temperatures on September 2 settling near 25–26°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that enhance radiative cooling while limiting daytime heat retention. This positions 25°C and 26°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, with differentiation driven by small variations in forecast dew points near 24°C, wind speeds of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation timing that could shave an extra degree under clearer breaks or hold values higher with humid advection. Early September climatology shows typical lows of 24–27°C, and the tight 38.5%/35% split reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$794Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to overnight minimum temperatures on September 2 settling near 25–26°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that enhance radiative cooling while limiting daytime heat retention. This positions 25°C and 26°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, with differentiation driven by small variations in forecast dew points near 24°C, wind speeds of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation timing that could shave an extra degree under clearer breaks or hold values higher with humid advection. Early September climatology shows typical lows of 24–27°C, and the tight 38.5%/35% split reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$794Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to overnight minimum temperatures on September 2 settling near 25–26°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that enhance radiative cooling while limiting daytime heat retention. This positions 25°C and 26°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, with differentiation driven by small variations in forecast dew points near 24°C, wind speeds of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation timing that could shave an extra degree under clearer breaks or hold values higher with humid advection. Early September climatology shows typical lows of 24–27°C, and the tight 38.5%/35% split reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions