Latest ensemble forecasts from global models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a peak temperature centered near 22–23°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses during early spring. This positions 23°C as the market favorite at 33.5% implied probability, with 22°C and 24°C close behind, reflecting typical model spread in transitional seasonal conditions where historical September maxima average around 19°C. Low precipitation risk early in the day supports modest warming, though afternoon instability or wind shifts could alter outcomes. Traders monitor updated model runs and official bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 2 de setembro?
23°C 34%
22°C 23%
24°C 22%
21°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
23%
23°C
34%
24°C
22%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 34%
22°C 23%
24°C 22%
21°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
16°C or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$14 Vol.
1%
20°C
$138 Vol.
3%
21°C
$152 Vol.
8%
22°C
$350 Vol.
23%
23°C
$2,451 Vol.
34%
24°C
$244 Vol.
22%
25°C
$348 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$69 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a peak temperature centered near 22–23°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses during early spring. This positions 23°C as the market favorite at 33.5% implied probability, with 22°C and 24°C close behind, reflecting typical model spread in transitional seasonal conditions where historical September maxima average around 19°C. Low precipitation risk early in the day supports modest warming, though afternoon instability or wind shifts could alter outcomes. Traders monitor updated model runs and official bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,277Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a peak temperature centered near 22–23°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses during early spring. This positions 23°C as the market favorite at 33.5% implied probability, with 22°C and 24°C close behind, reflecting typical model spread in transitional seasonal conditions where historical September maxima average around 19°C. Low precipitation risk early in the day supports modest warming, though afternoon instability or wind shifts could alter outcomes. Traders monitor updated model runs and official bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,277Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a peak temperature centered near 22–23°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses during early spring. This positions 23°C as the market favorite at 33.5% implied probability, with 22°C and 24°C close behind, reflecting typical model spread in transitional seasonal conditions where historical September maxima average around 19°C. Low precipitation risk early in the day supports modest warming, though afternoon instability or wind shifts could alter outcomes. Traders monitor updated model runs and official bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions