Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 1 de setembro?
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23°C
42%
24°C
29%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
$81 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$55 Vol.
16%
23°C
$220 Vol.
42%
24°C
$344 Vol.
29%
25°C
$22 Vol.
9%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$727Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$727Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions