Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models indicate San Francisco highs around 64–68°F for September 1, consistent with typical late-summer marine layer influence that caps temperatures via persistent stratus and onshore flow. This supports elevated market-implied odds near 60–77°F bins while the 78°F+ outcome at 50% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model shifts in the Pacific high or delayed fog clearance. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and wind patterns favor moderation; traders appear to weigh the narrow window before resolution against climatological variability in coastal microclimates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 1º de setembro?
68-69°F 46%
66-67°F 45%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 29%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
59°F ou menos
1%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
46%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
26%
78°F ou mais
27%
68-69°F 46%
66-67°F 45%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 29%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
59°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
17%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
28%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
45%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
46%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models indicate San Francisco highs around 64–68°F for September 1, consistent with typical late-summer marine layer influence that caps temperatures via persistent stratus and onshore flow. This supports elevated market-implied odds near 60–77°F bins while the 78°F+ outcome at 50% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model shifts in the Pacific high or delayed fog clearance. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and wind patterns favor moderation; traders appear to weigh the narrow window before resolution against climatological variability in coastal microclimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models indicate San Francisco highs around 64–68°F for September 1, consistent with typical late-summer marine layer influence that caps temperatures via persistent stratus and onshore flow. This supports elevated market-implied odds near 60–77°F bins while the 78°F+ outcome at 50% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model shifts in the Pacific high or delayed fog clearance. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and wind patterns favor moderation; traders appear to weigh the narrow window before resolution against climatological variability in coastal microclimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models indicate San Francisco highs around 64–68°F for September 1, consistent with typical late-summer marine layer influence that caps temperatures via persistent stratus and onshore flow. This supports elevated market-implied odds near 60–77°F bins while the 78°F+ outcome at 50% reflects residual uncertainty from potential model shifts in the Pacific high or delayed fog clearance. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and wind patterns favor moderation; traders appear to weigh the narrow window before resolution against climatological variability in coastal microclimates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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