**Current forecast models from multiple agencies show Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 3 likely peaking near 26–28°C under stable high-pressure conditions and persistent northeasterly winds.** These flows, common in early autumn, moderate daytime heating while clear to partly cloudy skies limit convective development and keep precipitation chances near zero. Recent runs converge on afternoon highs of 26–27°C at representative stations, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C (56.5%) and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than the prior two days. No major shifts in model guidance have emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping trader consensus aligned with official short-range forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 3 de setembro?
26°C 56%
25°C 20%
27°C 15%
28°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
56%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 20%
27°C 15%
28°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
56%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from multiple agencies show Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 3 likely peaking near 26–28°C under stable high-pressure conditions and persistent northeasterly winds.** These flows, common in early autumn, moderate daytime heating while clear to partly cloudy skies limit convective development and keep precipitation chances near zero. Recent runs converge on afternoon highs of 26–27°C at representative stations, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C (56.5%) and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than the prior two days. No major shifts in model guidance have emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping trader consensus aligned with official short-range forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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