Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while drawing in slightly cooler maritime air. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology but sit above the long-term average low, creating tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes in trader pricing. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date, represent the next key inputs likely to refine market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 3 de setembro?
17°C or below 69%
27°C or higher 69%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
17°C or below
69%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
69%
17°C or below 69%
27°C or higher 69%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
18°C
$5 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while drawing in slightly cooler maritime air. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology but sit above the long-term average low, creating tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes in trader pricing. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date, represent the next key inputs likely to refine market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while drawing in slightly cooler maritime air. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology but sit above the long-term average low, creating tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes in trader pricing. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date, represent the next key inputs likely to refine market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while drawing in slightly cooler maritime air. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology but sit above the long-term average low, creating tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes in trader pricing. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date, represent the next key inputs likely to refine market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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