Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall in the 19–22°C range under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds, aligning with climatological averages near 18–20°C. With the event only 48 hours away, limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or unusual moisture support steady overnight radiative cooling without sharp drops or spikes. Trader balance between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any observed anomaly, while narrower buckets around 17–25°C capture the most probable central tendency. Updated ensemble runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether modest deviations from guidance materialize.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul a 1 de setembro?
26°C or higher 60%
16°C or below 59%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
16°C or below
59%
17°C
43%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
60%
26°C or higher 60%
16°C or below 59%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
16°C or below
59%
17°C
43%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall in the 19–22°C range under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds, aligning with climatological averages near 18–20°C. With the event only 48 hours away, limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or unusual moisture support steady overnight radiative cooling without sharp drops or spikes. Trader balance between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any observed anomaly, while narrower buckets around 17–25°C capture the most probable central tendency. Updated ensemble runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether modest deviations from guidance materialize.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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