Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 1 de setembro?
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
25°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$594 Vol.
2%
28°C
$392 Vol.
9%
29°C
$938 Vol.
37%
30°C
$1,274 Vol.
35%
31°C
$552 Vol.
14%
32°C
$467 Vol.
5%
33°C
$553 Vol.
2%
34°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,556Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,556Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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