Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and national meteorological services show Warsaw highs stabilizing near 22–23°C on September 2, driven by a westward flow of cooler maritime air behind a passing front and moderate westerly winds under partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This places the most probable maximum in the 22–23°C range, aligning with early-September climatology after late-August variability. Ensemble guidance indicates low risk of significant deviation, as no strong ridging or warm advection is expected to push values above 24°C or below 21°C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because updated short-range models reinforce the consensus ahead of the final 48-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 13%
21°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 13%
21°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$76 Vol.
1%
20°C
$73 Vol.
3%
21°C
$328 Vol.
11%
22°C
$227 Vol.
33%
23°C
$511 Vol.
47%
24°C
$57 Vol.
13%
25°C
$204 Vol.
3%
26°C
$88 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and national meteorological services show Warsaw highs stabilizing near 22–23°C on September 2, driven by a westward flow of cooler maritime air behind a passing front and moderate westerly winds under partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This places the most probable maximum in the 22–23°C range, aligning with early-September climatology after late-August variability. Ensemble guidance indicates low risk of significant deviation, as no strong ridging or warm advection is expected to push values above 24°C or below 21°C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because updated short-range models reinforce the consensus ahead of the final 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,892Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and national meteorological services show Warsaw highs stabilizing near 22–23°C on September 2, driven by a westward flow of cooler maritime air behind a passing front and moderate westerly winds under partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This places the most probable maximum in the 22–23°C range, aligning with early-September climatology after late-August variability. Ensemble guidance indicates low risk of significant deviation, as no strong ridging or warm advection is expected to push values above 24°C or below 21°C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because updated short-range models reinforce the consensus ahead of the final 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,892Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and national meteorological services show Warsaw highs stabilizing near 22–23°C on September 2, driven by a westward flow of cooler maritime air behind a passing front and moderate westerly winds under partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This places the most probable maximum in the 22–23°C range, aligning with early-September climatology after late-August variability. Ensemble guidance indicates low risk of significant deviation, as no strong ridging or warm advection is expected to push values above 24°C or below 21°C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because updated short-range models reinforce the consensus ahead of the final 48-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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