Forecast models for Warsaw on September 2 project a clear, high-pressure night with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22°C. Overnight lows cluster between 11–15°C across ensembles, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under dry conditions and dew points around 12–13°C. Historical September averages place typical minima near 11–12°C, but recent model runs show slight warming from earlier autumnal patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 11–15°C outcomes due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 17°C given the stable synoptic setup and limited forecast spread. Updated NWP runs closer to the date will refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
16°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
9°C or below
17%
10°C
91%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
98%
14°C
98%
15°C
52%
16°C
100%
17°C
16%
18°C
98%
19°C or higher
100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
16°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
17%
10°C
$69 Vol.
91%
11°C
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
98%
14°C
$0 Vol.
98%
15°C
$0 Vol.
52%
16°C
$15 Vol.
100%
17°C
$20 Vol.
16%
18°C
$5 Vol.
98%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw on September 2 project a clear, high-pressure night with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22°C. Overnight lows cluster between 11–15°C across ensembles, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under dry conditions and dew points around 12–13°C. Historical September averages place typical minima near 11–12°C, but recent model runs show slight warming from earlier autumnal patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 11–15°C outcomes due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 17°C given the stable synoptic setup and limited forecast spread. Updated NWP runs closer to the date will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$119Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw on September 2 project a clear, high-pressure night with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22°C. Overnight lows cluster between 11–15°C across ensembles, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under dry conditions and dew points around 12–13°C. Historical September averages place typical minima near 11–12°C, but recent model runs show slight warming from earlier autumnal patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 11–15°C outcomes due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 17°C given the stable synoptic setup and limited forecast spread. Updated NWP runs closer to the date will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$119Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Warsaw on September 2 project a clear, high-pressure night with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22°C. Overnight lows cluster between 11–15°C across ensembles, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under dry conditions and dew points around 12–13°C. Historical September averages place typical minima near 11–12°C, but recent model runs show slight warming from earlier autumnal patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 11–15°C outcomes due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 17°C given the stable synoptic setup and limited forecast spread. Updated NWP runs closer to the date will refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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