**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and a persistent warm, humid southwest flow will drive Chicago’s September 2 high into the low-to-mid 90s.** Official NWS guidance for O’Hare projects a high near 91°F with gusty southwest winds to 25 mph, while several commercial outlooks range from 93–94°F and note heat indices approaching 100°F amid dew points in the low 70s. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest volume on 92–93°F (42.5%) and 94–95°F (30.0%), reflecting trader consensus around the upper end of the forecast envelope. Minor model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or cloud cover keep a modest probability on 90–91°F, but the current pattern supports little chance of readings outside the 90–95°F window. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago no dia 2 de setembro?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
83°F ou menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
1%
102°F ou mais
<1%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
83°F ou menos
$172 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
30-31°C
$296 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$317 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$36 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$121 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$238 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$58 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$194 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$60 Vol.
1%
102°F ou mais
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and a persistent warm, humid southwest flow will drive Chicago’s September 2 high into the low-to-mid 90s.** Official NWS guidance for O’Hare projects a high near 91°F with gusty southwest winds to 25 mph, while several commercial outlooks range from 93–94°F and note heat indices approaching 100°F amid dew points in the low 70s. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest volume on 92–93°F (42.5%) and 94–95°F (30.0%), reflecting trader consensus around the upper end of the forecast envelope. Minor model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or cloud cover keep a modest probability on 90–91°F, but the current pattern supports little chance of readings outside the 90–95°F window. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,868Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and a persistent warm, humid southwest flow will drive Chicago’s September 2 high into the low-to-mid 90s.** Official NWS guidance for O’Hare projects a high near 91°F with gusty southwest winds to 25 mph, while several commercial outlooks range from 93–94°F and note heat indices approaching 100°F amid dew points in the low 70s. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest volume on 92–93°F (42.5%) and 94–95°F (30.0%), reflecting trader consensus around the upper end of the forecast envelope. Minor model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or cloud cover keep a modest probability on 90–91°F, but the current pattern supports little chance of readings outside the 90–95°F window. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,868Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and a persistent warm, humid southwest flow will drive Chicago’s September 2 high into the low-to-mid 90s.** Official NWS guidance for O’Hare projects a high near 91°F with gusty southwest winds to 25 mph, while several commercial outlooks range from 93–94°F and note heat indices approaching 100°F amid dew points in the low 70s. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest volume on 92–93°F (42.5%) and 94–95°F (30.0%), reflecting trader consensus around the upper end of the forecast envelope. Minor model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or cloud cover keep a modest probability on 90–91°F, but the current pattern supports little chance of readings outside the 90–95°F window. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions