Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Chicago will see partly to mostly cloudy skies on August 30 with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, supporting a daytime maximum in the upper 80s. This setup favors 86-87°F as the most likely peak, though variable cloud cover and the precise timing of any convection introduce enough spread to differentiate the tightly bunched 82-85°F and 86-89°F buckets. Surface high pressure to the east and modest moisture return limit stronger warming, while historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 82°F with occasional 5-8°F excursions under similar flow. Traders appear to weigh these modest uncertainties and the risk of lake-influenced cooling against the current forecast consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de agosto?
84-85°F 24%
30-31°C 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
24%
30-31°C
23%
88-89°F
11%
32-32,8°C
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96°F ou mais
1%
84-85°F 24%
30-31°C 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$90 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$78 Vol.
24%
30-31°C
$53 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$65 Vol.
11%
32-32,8°C
$32 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
1%
96°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Chicago will see partly to mostly cloudy skies on August 30 with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, supporting a daytime maximum in the upper 80s. This setup favors 86-87°F as the most likely peak, though variable cloud cover and the precise timing of any convection introduce enough spread to differentiate the tightly bunched 82-85°F and 86-89°F buckets. Surface high pressure to the east and modest moisture return limit stronger warming, while historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 82°F with occasional 5-8°F excursions under similar flow. Traders appear to weigh these modest uncertainties and the risk of lake-influenced cooling against the current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$323Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Chicago will see partly to mostly cloudy skies on August 30 with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, supporting a daytime maximum in the upper 80s. This setup favors 86-87°F as the most likely peak, though variable cloud cover and the precise timing of any convection introduce enough spread to differentiate the tightly bunched 82-85°F and 86-89°F buckets. Surface high pressure to the east and modest moisture return limit stronger warming, while historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 82°F with occasional 5-8°F excursions under similar flow. Traders appear to weigh these modest uncertainties and the risk of lake-influenced cooling against the current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$323Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Chicago will see partly to mostly cloudy skies on August 30 with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, supporting a daytime maximum in the upper 80s. This setup favors 86-87°F as the most likely peak, though variable cloud cover and the precise timing of any convection introduce enough spread to differentiate the tightly bunched 82-85°F and 86-89°F buckets. Surface high pressure to the east and modest moisture return limit stronger warming, while historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 82°F with occasional 5-8°F excursions under similar flow. Traders appear to weigh these modest uncertainties and the risk of lake-influenced cooling against the current forecast consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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