Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs point to modest overnight cooling in San Francisco on August 30 amid a variable marine layer and light to moderate southwest onshore flow. These conditions, typical of the region’s Pacific-influenced climate with coastal upwelling, support a lowest temperature near the historical average low of 56°F at SFO. Stratus and fog development limits radiational cooling while wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small spreads across ensemble forecasts, producing tight market-implied probabilities across the 54–59°F ranges. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, with any deepening of the marine layer or clearer skies potentially shifting the outcome within the clustered outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 30 de agosto?
62-63°F 49%
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 34%
54-55°F 27%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
47°F ou menos
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
10%
66°F ou mais
<1%
62-63°F 49%
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 34%
54-55°F 27%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
47°F ou menos
$263 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$31 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$54 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
8%
54-55°F
$115 Vol.
27%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
35%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
34%
60-61°F
$62 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$32 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$87 Vol.
10%
66°F ou mais
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs point to modest overnight cooling in San Francisco on August 30 amid a variable marine layer and light to moderate southwest onshore flow. These conditions, typical of the region’s Pacific-influenced climate with coastal upwelling, support a lowest temperature near the historical average low of 56°F at SFO. Stratus and fog development limits radiational cooling while wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small spreads across ensemble forecasts, producing tight market-implied probabilities across the 54–59°F ranges. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, with any deepening of the marine layer or clearer skies potentially shifting the outcome within the clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$654Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs point to modest overnight cooling in San Francisco on August 30 amid a variable marine layer and light to moderate southwest onshore flow. These conditions, typical of the region’s Pacific-influenced climate with coastal upwelling, support a lowest temperature near the historical average low of 56°F at SFO. Stratus and fog development limits radiational cooling while wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small spreads across ensemble forecasts, producing tight market-implied probabilities across the 54–59°F ranges. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, with any deepening of the marine layer or clearer skies potentially shifting the outcome within the clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$654Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model runs point to modest overnight cooling in San Francisco on August 30 amid a variable marine layer and light to moderate southwest onshore flow. These conditions, typical of the region’s Pacific-influenced climate with coastal upwelling, support a lowest temperature near the historical average low of 56°F at SFO. Stratus and fog development limits radiational cooling while wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small spreads across ensemble forecasts, producing tight market-implied probabilities across the 54–59°F ranges. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, with any deepening of the marine layer or clearer skies potentially shifting the outcome within the clustered outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions