**Low influenza circulation during the Northern Hemisphere summer off-season keeps U.S. FluSurv-NET hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold for Week 34.** CDC surveillance through Week 33 (ending August 22) shows only 0.8% of clinical specimens positive for influenza, with nationwide ILI visits at 1.1% and emergency department influenza diagnoses at 0.1%. Year-round FluSurv-NET and NHSN data confirm weekly rates of 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 in late July and August, reflecting typical seasonal declines after the 2025–26 season’s cumulative rate reached 87.6. With absolute case counts small, minor reporting lags, model adjustments, or sporadic detections can shift the final one-decimal-place rate across the 0.1 boundary. Trader-implied odds clustered near 47–52% reflect this inherent week-to-week variability in low-activity periods rather than any emerging signal of fall resurgence. Next FluView updates and additional FluSurv-NET data releases will clarify whether residual circulation edges the rate precisely at, below, or above the resolution threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTaxa de Hospitalização por Gripe Semana 34, 2026?
Taxa de Hospitalização por Gripe Semana 34, 2026?
0,1 51%
<0,1 47%
>0,1 47%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
<0,1
47%
0,1
51%
>0,1
47%
0,1 51%
<0,1 47%
>0,1 47%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
<0,1
$0 Vol.
47%
0,1
$0 Vol.
51%
>0,1
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Low influenza circulation during the Northern Hemisphere summer off-season keeps U.S. FluSurv-NET hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold for Week 34.** CDC surveillance through Week 33 (ending August 22) shows only 0.8% of clinical specimens positive for influenza, with nationwide ILI visits at 1.1% and emergency department influenza diagnoses at 0.1%. Year-round FluSurv-NET and NHSN data confirm weekly rates of 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 in late July and August, reflecting typical seasonal declines after the 2025–26 season’s cumulative rate reached 87.6. With absolute case counts small, minor reporting lags, model adjustments, or sporadic detections can shift the final one-decimal-place rate across the 0.1 boundary. Trader-implied odds clustered near 47–52% reflect this inherent week-to-week variability in low-activity periods rather than any emerging signal of fall resurgence. Next FluView updates and additional FluSurv-NET data releases will clarify whether residual circulation edges the rate precisely at, below, or above the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Low influenza circulation during the Northern Hemisphere summer off-season keeps U.S. FluSurv-NET hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold for Week 34.** CDC surveillance through Week 33 (ending August 22) shows only 0.8% of clinical specimens positive for influenza, with nationwide ILI visits at 1.1% and emergency department influenza diagnoses at 0.1%. Year-round FluSurv-NET and NHSN data confirm weekly rates of 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 in late July and August, reflecting typical seasonal declines after the 2025–26 season’s cumulative rate reached 87.6. With absolute case counts small, minor reporting lags, model adjustments, or sporadic detections can shift the final one-decimal-place rate across the 0.1 boundary. Trader-implied odds clustered near 47–52% reflect this inherent week-to-week variability in low-activity periods rather than any emerging signal of fall resurgence. Next FluView updates and additional FluSurv-NET data releases will clarify whether residual circulation edges the rate precisely at, below, or above the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Low influenza circulation during the Northern Hemisphere summer off-season keeps U.S. FluSurv-NET hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold for Week 34.** CDC surveillance through Week 33 (ending August 22) shows only 0.8% of clinical specimens positive for influenza, with nationwide ILI visits at 1.1% and emergency department influenza diagnoses at 0.1%. Year-round FluSurv-NET and NHSN data confirm weekly rates of 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 in late July and August, reflecting typical seasonal declines after the 2025–26 season’s cumulative rate reached 87.6. With absolute case counts small, minor reporting lags, model adjustments, or sporadic detections can shift the final one-decimal-place rate across the 0.1 boundary. Trader-implied odds clustered near 47–52% reflect this inherent week-to-week variability in low-activity periods rather than any emerging signal of fall resurgence. Next FluView updates and additional FluSurv-NET data releases will clarify whether residual circulation edges the rate precisely at, below, or above the resolution threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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