Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on August 30, driven by a stable southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air with dew points near 70°F that restricts radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops compared with drier northerly patterns that historically produce cooler August nights. This setup places the expected minimum several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.6°F, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins while the 67°F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in any late-model shifts or localized variations. Final forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 30 de agosto?
67°F ou menos 80%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
80%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F ou mais
<1%
67°F ou menos 80%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
$25 Vol.
80%
68-69°F
$54 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
27%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$6 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$37 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$24 Vol.
<1%
86°F ou mais
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on August 30, driven by a stable southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air with dew points near 70°F that restricts radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops compared with drier northerly patterns that historically produce cooler August nights. This setup places the expected minimum several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.6°F, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins while the 67°F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in any late-model shifts or localized variations. Final forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$120Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on August 30, driven by a stable southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air with dew points near 70°F that restricts radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops compared with drier northerly patterns that historically produce cooler August nights. This setup places the expected minimum several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.6°F, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins while the 67°F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in any late-model shifts or localized variations. Final forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on August 30, driven by a stable southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air with dew points near 70°F that restricts radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Light winds and high humidity further limit temperature drops compared with drier northerly patterns that historically produce cooler August nights. This setup places the expected minimum several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.6°F, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins while the 67°F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in any late-model shifts or localized variations. Final forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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