Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 2 de setembro?
30°C 24%
31°C 17%
29°C 15%
35°C ou mais 13.3%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
24%
31°C
17%
32°C
13%
33°C
8%
34°C
13%
35°C ou mais
13%
30°C 24%
31°C 17%
29°C 15%
35°C ou mais 13.3%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$319 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$81 Vol.
7%
27°C
$17 Vol.
3%
28°C
$261 Vol.
8%
29°C
$232 Vol.
15%
30°C
$253 Vol.
24%
31°C
$497 Vol.
17%
32°C
$519 Vol.
13%
33°C
$338 Vol.
8%
34°C
$920 Vol.
13%
35°C ou mais
$58 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,494Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,494Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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