Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions and light northeast winds over Istanbul on September 2, supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C under a stable high-pressure regime typical for early September. Trader consensus favoring 26 °C or 27 °C as the most likely daily maximum reflects lingering model spread in peak afternoon temperatures, influenced by variables such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and localized sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus. With precipitation probability near zero and climatological norms around 27–28 °C, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores uncertainty in the final observed reading from official stations, which will be resolved by the next 48-hour model runs and real-time observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 2 de setembro?
26°C 48%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions and light northeast winds over Istanbul on September 2, supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C under a stable high-pressure regime typical for early September. Trader consensus favoring 26 °C or 27 °C as the most likely daily maximum reflects lingering model spread in peak afternoon temperatures, influenced by variables such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and localized sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus. With precipitation probability near zero and climatological norms around 27–28 °C, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores uncertainty in the final observed reading from official stations, which will be resolved by the next 48-hour model runs and real-time observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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