Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Taipei on September 3 most likely between 30–32°C, with closely matched market-implied odds reflecting model spread amid persistent cloud cover and 75–90% precipitation probability. Easterly winds and high humidity from the western Pacific monsoon pattern are suppressing daytime heating through extensive cloudiness and scattered showers, while the urban heat island effect and any breaks in convection could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Historical September baselines average around 30°C, but variable steering patterns and potential tropical moisture influx create genuine uncertainty. Traders are watching the next CWA briefing and updated ECMWF/GFS runs for clearer signals on afternoon instability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 3 de setembro?
31°C 29%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Taipei on September 3 most likely between 30–32°C, with closely matched market-implied odds reflecting model spread amid persistent cloud cover and 75–90% precipitation probability. Easterly winds and high humidity from the western Pacific monsoon pattern are suppressing daytime heating through extensive cloudiness and scattered showers, while the urban heat island effect and any breaks in convection could allow brief peaks near 32°C. Historical September baselines average around 30°C, but variable steering patterns and potential tropical moisture influx create genuine uncertainty. Traders are watching the next CWA briefing and updated ECMWF/GFS runs for clearer signals on afternoon instability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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