**Persistent rainy, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover are anchoring overnight lows in Taipei near 24–27°C for September 3, 2026, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those values.** Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-adjacent regional models and local agencies) show daytime highs of 27–31°C giving way to nighttime minima of 24–26°C under easterly flow, high dew points near 25–26°C, and 85–100% rain chances that limit radiational cooling. This keeps the diurnal range narrow, as thick clouds and precipitation prevent both strong daytime heating and sharp overnight drops. Historical early-September baselines for Taipei support lows in this band, with urban effects and subtropical moisture further stabilizing temperatures. Model consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most likely minimum, explaining why 24°C, 25°C, 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C each hold roughly 25–27% implied probability while extremes (below 23°C or 29°C+) remain under 8%. Minor disagreements in rain timing or wind strength account for the spread, but the overall pattern shows low volatility ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Taipei no dia 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Taipei no dia 3 de setembro?
23°C 49%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
22°C or below
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
14%
23°C 49%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
7%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$73 Vol.
6%
30°C
$335 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rainy, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover are anchoring overnight lows in Taipei near 24–27°C for September 3, 2026, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those values.**
Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-adjacent regional models and local agencies) show daytime highs of 27–31°C giving way to nighttime minima of 24–26°C under easterly flow, high dew points near 25–26°C, and 85–100% rain chances that limit radiational cooling. This keeps the diurnal range narrow, as thick clouds and precipitation prevent both strong daytime heating and sharp overnight drops. Historical early-September baselines for Taipei support lows in this band, with urban effects and subtropical moisture further stabilizing temperatures.
Model consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most likely minimum, explaining why 24°C, 25°C, 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C each hold roughly 25–27% implied probability while extremes (below 23°C or 29°C+) remain under 8%. Minor disagreements in rain timing or wind strength account for the spread, but the overall pattern shows low volatility ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$428Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rainy, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover are anchoring overnight lows in Taipei near 24–27°C for September 3, 2026, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those values.**
Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-adjacent regional models and local agencies) show daytime highs of 27–31°C giving way to nighttime minima of 24–26°C under easterly flow, high dew points near 25–26°C, and 85–100% rain chances that limit radiational cooling. This keeps the diurnal range narrow, as thick clouds and precipitation prevent both strong daytime heating and sharp overnight drops. Historical early-September baselines for Taipei support lows in this band, with urban effects and subtropical moisture further stabilizing temperatures.
Model consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most likely minimum, explaining why 24°C, 25°C, 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C each hold roughly 25–27% implied probability while extremes (below 23°C or 29°C+) remain under 8%. Minor disagreements in rain timing or wind strength account for the spread, but the overall pattern shows low volatility ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$428Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rainy, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover are anchoring overnight lows in Taipei near 24–27°C for September 3, 2026, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those values.** Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-adjacent regional models and local agencies) show daytime highs of 27–31°C giving way to nighttime minima of 24–26°C under easterly flow, high dew points near 25–26°C, and 85–100% rain chances that limit radiational cooling. This keeps the diurnal range narrow, as thick clouds and precipitation prevent both strong daytime heating and sharp overnight drops. Historical early-September baselines for Taipei support lows in this band, with urban effects and subtropical moisture further stabilizing temperatures. Model consensus centers on 25–26°C as the most likely minimum, explaining why 24°C, 25°C, 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C each hold roughly 25–27% implied probability while extremes (below 23°C or 29°C+) remain under 8%. Minor disagreements in rain timing or wind strength account for the spread, but the overall pattern shows low volatility ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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