Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Yr.no and Met Office ensembles, indicate Moscow's September 4 high will likely reach 20–21°C under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and minimal precipitation under 1 mm. This places the peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.7°C following a brief warm spell early in the month. Overcast conditions limit diurnal heating while stable pressure gradients reduce variability, keeping most runs clustered in the 19–22°C range. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from precise timing of any partial cloud breaks or advection shifts that could add or subtract 1°C from the afternoon maximum. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow spreads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 4 de setembro?
21°C 26%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
19°C 14%
16°C ou menos
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C ou mais
4%
21°C 26%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
19°C 14%
16°C ou menos
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Yr.no and Met Office ensembles, indicate Moscow's September 4 high will likely reach 20–21°C under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and minimal precipitation under 1 mm. This places the peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.7°C following a brief warm spell early in the month. Overcast conditions limit diurnal heating while stable pressure gradients reduce variability, keeping most runs clustered in the 19–22°C range. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from precise timing of any partial cloud breaks or advection shifts that could add or subtract 1°C from the afternoon maximum. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow spreads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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