Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow overnight lows of 13–14°C on September 3 under westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds around 12–13°C bins. This positioning reflects the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with historical September 3 averages near 10°C lows providing climatological context yet tempered by recent mild advection. Trader consensus on 18°C or higher at 43% likely factors in model spread and potential daytime retention effects, while the low 3% probability for 8°C or below underscores the unlikelihood of rapid radiative cooling under current humidity and wind regimes. Final NHC-equivalent surface observations will resolve the market as models update overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 3 de setembro?
18°C or higher 83%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
8°C or below
6%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
83%
18°C or higher 83%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
9°C
$25 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
50%
16°C
$16 Vol.
50%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow overnight lows of 13–14°C on September 3 under westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds around 12–13°C bins. This positioning reflects the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with historical September 3 averages near 10°C lows providing climatological context yet tempered by recent mild advection. Trader consensus on 18°C or higher at 43% likely factors in model spread and potential daytime retention effects, while the low 3% probability for 8°C or below underscores the unlikelihood of rapid radiative cooling under current humidity and wind regimes. Final NHC-equivalent surface observations will resolve the market as models update overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$61Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow overnight lows of 13–14°C on September 3 under westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds around 12–13°C bins. This positioning reflects the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with historical September 3 averages near 10°C lows providing climatological context yet tempered by recent mild advection. Trader consensus on 18°C or higher at 43% likely factors in model spread and potential daytime retention effects, while the low 3% probability for 8°C or below underscores the unlikelihood of rapid radiative cooling under current humidity and wind regimes. Final NHC-equivalent surface observations will resolve the market as models update overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow overnight lows of 13–14°C on September 3 under westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds around 12–13°C bins. This positioning reflects the seasonal transition from summer warmth, with historical September 3 averages near 10°C lows providing climatological context yet tempered by recent mild advection. Trader consensus on 18°C or higher at 43% likely factors in model spread and potential daytime retention effects, while the low 3% probability for 8°C or below underscores the unlikelihood of rapid radiative cooling under current humidity and wind regimes. Final NHC-equivalent surface observations will resolve the market as models update overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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