**Recent meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on September 4 amid typical rainy-season conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–90% combined with persistent cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier periods. This aligns with September climatological averages of roughly 24°C lows, though localized variability from afternoon thunderstorms can produce slight upward shifts in the daily minimum. Official forecasts and preliminary station data from agencies like those monitoring Tocumen reinforced expectations of a 25–26°C floor rather than cooler readings, driving the strong 90% market-implied probability for 26°C as the day's lowest temperature. Traders appear to view any deviation below 25°C as unlikely without an atypical cold surge, while higher thresholds remain improbable given the established thermal baseline. Updated station reports expected in the coming days could confirm resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Panamá em 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Panamá em 4 de setembro?
26°C 99.5%
19°C ou menos 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$1,422 Vol.
$1,422 Vol.
4 set 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
26°C 99.5%
19°C ou menos 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$1,422 Vol.
$1,422 Vol.
4 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$122 Vol.
Não
20°C
$62 Vol.
Não
21°C
$122 Vol.
Não
22°C
$87 Vol.
Não
23°C
$77 Vol.
Não
24°C
$47 Vol.
Não
25°C
$27 Vol.
Não
26°C
$212 Vol.
Sim
27°C
$234 Vol.
Não
28°C
$256 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$176 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on September 4 amid typical rainy-season conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–90% combined with persistent cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier periods. This aligns with September climatological averages of roughly 24°C lows, though localized variability from afternoon thunderstorms can produce slight upward shifts in the daily minimum. Official forecasts and preliminary station data from agencies like those monitoring Tocumen reinforced expectations of a 25–26°C floor rather than cooler readings, driving the strong 90% market-implied probability for 26°C as the day's lowest temperature. Traders appear to view any deviation below 25°C as unlikely without an atypical cold surge, while higher thresholds remain improbable given the established thermal baseline. Updated station reports expected in the coming days could confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,422Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on September 4 amid typical rainy-season conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–90% combined with persistent cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier periods. This aligns with September climatological averages of roughly 24°C lows, though localized variability from afternoon thunderstorms can produce slight upward shifts in the daily minimum. Official forecasts and preliminary station data from agencies like those monitoring Tocumen reinforced expectations of a 25–26°C floor rather than cooler readings, driving the strong 90% market-implied probability for 26°C as the day's lowest temperature. Traders appear to view any deviation below 25°C as unlikely without an atypical cold surge, while higher thresholds remain improbable given the established thermal baseline. Updated station reports expected in the coming days could confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,422Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Recent meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on September 4 amid typical rainy-season conditions.** High humidity levels near 85–90% combined with persistent cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier periods. This aligns with September climatological averages of roughly 24°C lows, though localized variability from afternoon thunderstorms can produce slight upward shifts in the daily minimum. Official forecasts and preliminary station data from agencies like those monitoring Tocumen reinforced expectations of a 25–26°C floor rather than cooler readings, driving the strong 90% market-implied probability for 26°C as the day's lowest temperature. Traders appear to view any deviation below 25°C as unlikely without an atypical cold surge, while higher thresholds remain improbable given the established thermal baseline. Updated station reports expected in the coming days could confirm resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions