The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 7 de setembro?
72-73°F 99.5%
70-71°F 1.0%
59°F ou menos <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,506 Vol.
$1,506 Vol.
7 set 2026
59°F ou menos
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Sim
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78°F ou mais
Não
72-73°F 99.5%
70-71°F 1.0%
59°F ou menos <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,506 Vol.
$1,506 Vol.
7 set 2026
59°F ou menos
$170 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$40 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$40 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$90 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$81 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$240 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$61 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$431 Vol.
Sim
74-75°F
$188 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$95 Vol.
Não
78°F ou mais
$70 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,506Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,506Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions