Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a warming trend over Sao Paulo on September 4, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. This positioning reflects the early spring transition in the region, where high-pressure influences and reduced cloud cover support daytime heating after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Market-implied odds favor 29°C as the mode, consistent with ensemble consensus around 28–31°C, though model spread and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in exact peak values. Updated runs from agencies like INMET and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 4 de setembro?
29°C 39%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
27°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
6%
28°C
27%
29°C
39%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C ou mais
6%
29°C 39%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
27°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$35 Vol.
3%
26°C
$36 Vol.
6%
27°C
$86 Vol.
6%
28°C
$93 Vol.
27%
29°C
$98 Vol.
39%
30°C
$250 Vol.
18%
31°C
$16 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a warming trend over Sao Paulo on September 4, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. This positioning reflects the early spring transition in the region, where high-pressure influences and reduced cloud cover support daytime heating after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Market-implied odds favor 29°C as the mode, consistent with ensemble consensus around 28–31°C, though model spread and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in exact peak values. Updated runs from agencies like INMET and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$615Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a warming trend over Sao Paulo on September 4, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. This positioning reflects the early spring transition in the region, where high-pressure influences and reduced cloud cover support daytime heating after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Market-implied odds favor 29°C as the mode, consistent with ensemble consensus around 28–31°C, though model spread and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in exact peak values. Updated runs from agencies like INMET and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$615Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a warming trend over Sao Paulo on September 4, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–30°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. This positioning reflects the early spring transition in the region, where high-pressure influences and reduced cloud cover support daytime heating after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Market-implied odds favor 29°C as the mode, consistent with ensemble consensus around 28–31°C, though model spread and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in exact peak values. Updated runs from agencies like INMET and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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