Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 27–29°C for Istanbul on September 4 under partly cloudy conditions, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa suppressing significant warming or cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology (average highs near 23–27°C) while current patterns favor the market's leading 26°C outcome at 56% implied probability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact peak timing introduces uncertainty between 25–27°C, with limited rain risk supporting these narrower bands over extremes. Traders weigh the latest runs against historical variability as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 4 de setembro?
26°C 56%
25°C 17%
27°C 16%
28°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
22°C ou menos
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
56%
27°C
16%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C ou mais
2%
26°C 56%
25°C 17%
27°C 16%
28°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$80 Vol.
4%
24°C
$158 Vol.
3%
25°C
$180 Vol.
17%
26°C
$115 Vol.
56%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$20 Vol.
6%
29°C
$155 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 27–29°C for Istanbul on September 4 under partly cloudy conditions, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa suppressing significant warming or cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology (average highs near 23–27°C) while current patterns favor the market's leading 26°C outcome at 56% implied probability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact peak timing introduces uncertainty between 25–27°C, with limited rain risk supporting these narrower bands over extremes. Traders weigh the latest runs against historical variability as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$708Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 27–29°C for Istanbul on September 4 under partly cloudy conditions, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa suppressing significant warming or cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology (average highs near 23–27°C) while current patterns favor the market's leading 26°C outcome at 56% implied probability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact peak timing introduces uncertainty between 25–27°C, with limited rain risk supporting these narrower bands over extremes. Traders weigh the latest runs against historical variability as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$708Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 27–29°C for Istanbul on September 4 under partly cloudy conditions, northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa suppressing significant warming or cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology (average highs near 23–27°C) while current patterns favor the market's leading 26°C outcome at 56% implied probability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact peak timing introduces uncertainty between 25–27°C, with limited rain risk supporting these narrower bands over extremes. Traders weigh the latest runs against historical variability as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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