Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low in Istanbul on September 4 near 19–22°C under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa, supporting the market's narrow lead for 22°C at 51.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual daytime heat and dew points near 16–19°C, while model spreads reflect minor differences in wind timing and cloud cover that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 17°C, yet recent warm anomalies and absent precipitation keep trader focus on the upper end of the range, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coolest pre-dawn hour.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 4 de setembro?
18°C 98%
24°C 98%
25°C 98%
17°C 95%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
16°C ou menos
94%
17°C
95%
18°C
98%
19°C
95%
20°C
95%
21°C
95%
22°C
51%
23°C
92%
24°C
98%
25°C
98%
26°C ou mais
94%
18°C 98%
24°C 98%
25°C 98%
17°C 95%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
94%
17°C
$0 Vol.
95%
18°C
$0 Vol.
98%
19°C
$0 Vol.
95%
20°C
$0 Vol.
95%
21°C
$0 Vol.
95%
22°C
$0 Vol.
51%
23°C
$0 Vol.
92%
24°C
$0 Vol.
98%
25°C
$0 Vol.
98%
26°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low in Istanbul on September 4 near 19–22°C under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa, supporting the market's narrow lead for 22°C at 51.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual daytime heat and dew points near 16–19°C, while model spreads reflect minor differences in wind timing and cloud cover that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 17°C, yet recent warm anomalies and absent precipitation keep trader focus on the upper end of the range, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coolest pre-dawn hour.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low in Istanbul on September 4 near 19–22°C under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa, supporting the market's narrow lead for 22°C at 51.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual daytime heat and dew points near 16–19°C, while model spreads reflect minor differences in wind timing and cloud cover that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 17°C, yet recent warm anomalies and absent precipitation keep trader focus on the upper end of the range, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coolest pre-dawn hour.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low in Istanbul on September 4 near 19–22°C under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure around 1015 hPa, supporting the market's narrow lead for 22°C at 51.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual daytime heat and dew points near 16–19°C, while model spreads reflect minor differences in wind timing and cloud cover that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 17°C, yet recent warm anomalies and absent precipitation keep trader focus on the upper end of the range, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coolest pre-dawn hour.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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