**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5 point to a mostly sunny, high-pressure pattern with daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight lows centered around 18–22°C, placing the minimum near typical early-September norms of 17–20°C.** Clear skies favor radiational cooling after sunset, moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea’s maritime influence that limits extreme drops, while light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity (around 50–80% at night) reduce the potential for rapid temperature falls. Slight model differences in predicted cloud cover or wind strength create the tight market split between a cooler outcome (≤17°C) and an unusually warm night (≥27°C), with traders weighing the balance between seasonal cooling trends and persistent warm advection. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will clarify resolution thresholds as the date approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 5 de setembro?
17°C ou menos 100%
27°C ou mais 95%
18°C 50%
24°C 50%
17°C ou menos
100%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C ou mais
95%
17°C ou menos 100%
27°C ou mais 95%
18°C 50%
24°C 50%
17°C ou menos
100%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C ou mais
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5 point to a mostly sunny, high-pressure pattern with daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight lows centered around 18–22°C, placing the minimum near typical early-September norms of 17–20°C.** Clear skies favor radiational cooling after sunset, moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea’s maritime influence that limits extreme drops, while light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity (around 50–80% at night) reduce the potential for rapid temperature falls. Slight model differences in predicted cloud cover or wind strength create the tight market split between a cooler outcome (≤17°C) and an unusually warm night (≥27°C), with traders weighing the balance between seasonal cooling trends and persistent warm advection. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will clarify resolution thresholds as the date approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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