Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Incheon on September 3, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under 10 km/h that limit afternoon mixing and heat buildup. This places the day within normal early-September climatology for the region, without the influence of a lingering heatwave or strong southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs peaking at or just above 30°C and minimal risk of reaching 32°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 30°C while acknowledging modest uncertainty from potential model revisions or localized urban effects before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 3 de setembro?
30°C 51%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
51%
31°C
29%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
24°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$929 Vol.
1%
28°C
$670 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,112 Vol.
15%
30°C
$1,510 Vol.
51%
31°C
$1,748 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,662 Vol.
8%
33°C
$382 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Incheon on September 3, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under 10 km/h that limit afternoon mixing and heat buildup. This places the day within normal early-September climatology for the region, without the influence of a lingering heatwave or strong southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs peaking at or just above 30°C and minimal risk of reaching 32°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 30°C while acknowledging modest uncertainty from potential model revisions or localized urban effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,561Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Incheon on September 3, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under 10 km/h that limit afternoon mixing and heat buildup. This places the day within normal early-September climatology for the region, without the influence of a lingering heatwave or strong southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs peaking at or just above 30°C and minimal risk of reaching 32°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 30°C while acknowledging modest uncertainty from potential model revisions or localized urban effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,561Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Incheon on September 3, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds under 10 km/h that limit afternoon mixing and heat buildup. This places the day within normal early-September climatology for the region, without the influence of a lingering heatwave or strong southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs peaking at or just above 30°C and minimal risk of reaching 32°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probability to 30°C while acknowledging modest uncertainty from potential model revisions or localized urban effects before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions