**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies project a high of 29–30°C in Incheon on September 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeast winds of 6–10 m/s and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (47%) and 29°C (29.5%), as current guidance shows daytime maxima peaking near 29–30°C around mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences to alter the pattern. Historical September averages for the area hover near 26°C, but the current late-summer warmth supports the elevated consensus. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official monitoring will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 4 de setembro?
30°C 49%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
33%
30°C
49%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
1%
30°C 49%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$291 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$611 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$217 Vol.
2%
28°C
$161 Vol.
5%
29°C
$371 Vol.
33%
30°C
$1,058 Vol.
49%
31°C
$524 Vol.
13%
32°C
$157 Vol.
4%
33°C ou mais
$205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies project a high of 29–30°C in Incheon on September 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeast winds of 6–10 m/s and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (47%) and 29°C (29.5%), as current guidance shows daytime maxima peaking near 29–30°C around mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences to alter the pattern. Historical September averages for the area hover near 26°C, but the current late-summer warmth supports the elevated consensus. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official monitoring will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,128Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies project a high of 29–30°C in Incheon on September 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeast winds of 6–10 m/s and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (47%) and 29°C (29.5%), as current guidance shows daytime maxima peaking near 29–30°C around mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences to alter the pattern. Historical September averages for the area hover near 26°C, but the current late-summer warmth supports the elevated consensus. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official monitoring will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,128Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies project a high of 29–30°C in Incheon on September 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeast winds of 6–10 m/s and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (47%) and 29°C (29.5%), as current guidance shows daytime maxima peaking near 29–30°C around mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent model runs have remained stable over the past 48 hours, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences to alter the pattern. Historical September averages for the area hover near 26°C, but the current late-summer warmth supports the elevated consensus. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official monitoring will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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