Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers on September 4 driven by lingering low-pressure influences and high atmospheric moisture, suppressing maximum temperatures into the 28–31°C range rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. High humidity near 85–95% combined with northeast winds and rainfall totals exceeding 10–25 mm will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds around 30°C (34.5%) versus 31–32°C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observational data from official stations will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily high before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 4 de setembro?
27°C 49%
32°C 38%
30°C 34%
31°C 32%
24°C ou menos
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
49%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
3%
27°C 49%
32°C 38%
30°C 34%
31°C 32%
24°C ou menos
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
49%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers on September 4 driven by lingering low-pressure influences and high atmospheric moisture, suppressing maximum temperatures into the 28–31°C range rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. High humidity near 85–95% combined with northeast winds and rainfall totals exceeding 10–25 mm will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds around 30°C (34.5%) versus 31–32°C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observational data from official stations will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily high before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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