Trader consensus around 23–24°C for Paris’s daily maximum on August 21 reflects the latest model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles, which show a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting modest boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow because upper-level support for stronger advection or convective cooling is absent, keeping the probability mass between 23°C and 24°C while assigning only single-digit odds to 25°C or higher. Any last-minute shift in wind direction or increased boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed maximum across that narrow threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 21 de agosto?
23°C 42%
24°C 41%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
NOVO
$60,206 Vol.
NOVO
$60,206 Vol.
21 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
42%
24°C
41%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 41%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
NOVO
$60,206 Vol.
NOVO
$60,206 Vol.
21 ago 2026
20°C or below
$8,585 Vol.
1%
21°C
$6,326 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,080 Vol.
9%
23°C
$10,135 Vol.
42%
24°C
$5,112 Vol.
41%
25°C
$5,904 Vol.
10%
26°C
$7,325 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,349 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,514 Vol.
1%
29°C
$4,670 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 23–24°C for Paris’s daily maximum on August 21 reflects the latest model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles, which show a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting modest boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow because upper-level support for stronger advection or convective cooling is absent, keeping the probability mass between 23°C and 24°C while assigning only single-digit odds to 25°C or higher. Any last-minute shift in wind direction or increased boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed maximum across that narrow threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$60,206Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 23–24°C for Paris’s daily maximum on August 21 reflects the latest model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles, which show a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting modest boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow because upper-level support for stronger advection or convective cooling is absent, keeping the probability mass between 23°C and 24°C while assigning only single-digit odds to 25°C or higher. Any last-minute shift in wind direction or increased boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed maximum across that narrow threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,206Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 23–24°C for Paris’s daily maximum on August 21 reflects the latest model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles, which show a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting modest boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow because upper-level support for stronger advection or convective cooling is absent, keeping the probability mass between 23°C and 24°C while assigning only single-digit odds to 25°C or higher. Any last-minute shift in wind direction or increased boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed maximum across that narrow threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions