Recent cooling trends following earlier summer heat have positioned trader sentiment around 14–16°C for Paris's daily minimum temperature on August 21, with 15°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while moderate westerly winds and Atlantic air influence keep overnight lows from dropping sharply below 14°C. Official Météo-France observations and ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this range due to urban heat retention and variable cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and final station readings by midnight. Updated forecasts through the evening will further refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 21 de agosto?
15°C 56%
16°C 29%
13°C 27%
14°C 23%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
21%
14°C
27%
15°C
48%
16°C
39%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou superior
<1%
15°C 56%
16°C 29%
13°C 27%
14°C 23%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
11°C ou menos
$434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$63 Vol.
1%
13°C
$594 Vol.
21%
14°C
$2,047 Vol.
27%
15°C
$596 Vol.
48%
16°C
$198 Vol.
39%
17°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou superior
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling trends following earlier summer heat have positioned trader sentiment around 14–16°C for Paris's daily minimum temperature on August 21, with 15°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while moderate westerly winds and Atlantic air influence keep overnight lows from dropping sharply below 14°C. Official Météo-France observations and ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this range due to urban heat retention and variable cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and final station readings by midnight. Updated forecasts through the evening will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$6,722Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling trends following earlier summer heat have positioned trader sentiment around 14–16°C for Paris's daily minimum temperature on August 21, with 15°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while moderate westerly winds and Atlantic air influence keep overnight lows from dropping sharply below 14°C. Official Météo-France observations and ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this range due to urban heat retention and variable cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and final station readings by midnight. Updated forecasts through the evening will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,722Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling trends following earlier summer heat have positioned trader sentiment around 14–16°C for Paris's daily minimum temperature on August 21, with 15°C holding the highest implied probability at 37.5%. Partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while moderate westerly winds and Atlantic air influence keep overnight lows from dropping sharply below 14°C. Official Météo-France observations and ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this range due to urban heat retention and variable cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and final station readings by midnight. Updated forecasts through the evening will further refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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