Current National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low near 58°F for San Francisco on August 22 under a modestly compressed marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow. This setup favors seasonable cooling typical of late summer, with historical August lows averaging 57°F and rarely dropping below 54°F. Trader consensus clusters around 54–61°F because small variations in marine-layer depth, wind speeds of 7–14 mph, and fog coverage can alter radiative cooling rates by a few degrees at official stations like KSFO. Model runs show limited spread, yet microclimate differences across the city and any late-day clearing introduce the observed tight distribution across the leading bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 22 de agosto?
56-57°F 53%
58-59°F 28%
60-61°F 28%
54-55°F 27%
49°F ou menos
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
1%
68°F ou mais
1%
56-57°F 53%
58-59°F 28%
60-61°F 28%
54-55°F 27%
49°F ou menos
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
1%
68°F ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low near 58°F for San Francisco on August 22 under a modestly compressed marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow. This setup favors seasonable cooling typical of late summer, with historical August lows averaging 57°F and rarely dropping below 54°F. Trader consensus clusters around 54–61°F because small variations in marine-layer depth, wind speeds of 7–14 mph, and fog coverage can alter radiative cooling rates by a few degrees at official stations like KSFO. Model runs show limited spread, yet microclimate differences across the city and any late-day clearing introduce the observed tight distribution across the leading bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions