Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 21 de agosto?
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
19%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
25°C or below
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$180 Vol.
1%
27°C
$108 Vol.
2%
28°C
$23 Vol.
3%
29°C
$66 Vol.
9%
30°C
$94 Vol.
28%
31°C
$113 Vol.
34%
32°C
$29 Vol.
19%
33°C
$27 Vol.
7%
34°C
$106 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,896Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,896Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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