Recent ensemble forecasts from major European meteorological centers show maximum temperatures in Munich on August 19 most likely reaching 26–28 °C, with the narrow spread among these outcomes driven by modest model disagreement on afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud or shower activity. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-average airmass; traders are weighting the 27 °C bin highest because it aligns with the median of latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated high-resolution model cycles and official guidance from the German Weather Service expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 19 de agosto?
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
24°C or below
$143 Vol.
2%
25°C
$81 Vol.
4%
26°C
$112 Vol.
19%
27°C
$472 Vol.
34%
28°C
$38 Vol.
27%
29°C
$609 Vol.
11%
30°C
$322 Vol.
5%
31°C
$23 Vol.
2%
32°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major European meteorological centers show maximum temperatures in Munich on August 19 most likely reaching 26–28 °C, with the narrow spread among these outcomes driven by modest model disagreement on afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud or shower activity. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-average airmass; traders are weighting the 27 °C bin highest because it aligns with the median of latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated high-resolution model cycles and official guidance from the German Weather Service expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,296Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major European meteorological centers show maximum temperatures in Munich on August 19 most likely reaching 26–28 °C, with the narrow spread among these outcomes driven by modest model disagreement on afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud or shower activity. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-average airmass; traders are weighting the 27 °C bin highest because it aligns with the median of latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated high-resolution model cycles and official guidance from the German Weather Service expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,296Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major European meteorological centers show maximum temperatures in Munich on August 19 most likely reaching 26–28 °C, with the narrow spread among these outcomes driven by modest model disagreement on afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud or shower activity. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-average airmass; traders are weighting the 27 °C bin highest because it aligns with the median of latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated high-resolution model cycles and official guidance from the German Weather Service expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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