Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-August feature average highs of 21–22°C, supported by moderate Atlantic flow and typical cloud cover limiting stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 22°C and 20°C as secondary possibilities at 23.5% and 17.5%, respectively. Minor forecast adjustments from recent model runs have reinforced this range, while traders weigh the low odds of extremes above 24°C or below 19°C given stable conditions and proximity to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 17 de agosto?
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
19°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
41%
22°C
24%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
19°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
2%
19°C
$178 Vol.
6%
20°C
$181 Vol.
18%
21°C
$636 Vol.
41%
22°C
$160 Vol.
24%
23°C
$56 Vol.
5%
24°C
$55 Vol.
2%
25°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-August feature average highs of 21–22°C, supported by moderate Atlantic flow and typical cloud cover limiting stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 22°C and 20°C as secondary possibilities at 23.5% and 17.5%, respectively. Minor forecast adjustments from recent model runs have reinforced this range, while traders weigh the low odds of extremes above 24°C or below 19°C given stable conditions and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,571Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-August feature average highs of 21–22°C, supported by moderate Atlantic flow and typical cloud cover limiting stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 22°C and 20°C as secondary possibilities at 23.5% and 17.5%, respectively. Minor forecast adjustments from recent model runs have reinforced this range, while traders weigh the low odds of extremes above 24°C or below 19°C given stable conditions and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,571Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-August feature average highs of 21–22°C, supported by moderate Atlantic flow and typical cloud cover limiting stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 22°C and 20°C as secondary possibilities at 23.5% and 17.5%, respectively. Minor forecast adjustments from recent model runs have reinforced this range, while traders weigh the low odds of extremes above 24°C or below 19°C given stable conditions and proximity to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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