Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and numerical weather models shows Toronto under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting clear skies and peak solar insolation that favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C on August 15. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of peak heating, and potential weak lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario. Historical climatology for mid-August places the normal high at 25 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against small deviations in surface wind and urban heat-island amplification that could nudge the recorded maximum either side of that threshold. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 15 de agosto?
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
24°C 16%
27°C 6%
NOVO
$10,421 Vol.
NOVO
$10,421 Vol.
15 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
24°C 16%
27°C 6%
NOVO
$10,421 Vol.
NOVO
$10,421 Vol.
15 ago 2026
19°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$686 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,078 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,675 Vol.
16%
25°C
$1,343 Vol.
39%
26°C
$2,659 Vol.
39%
27°C
$1,107 Vol.
6%
28°C
$626 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and numerical weather models shows Toronto under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting clear skies and peak solar insolation that favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C on August 15. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of peak heating, and potential weak lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario. Historical climatology for mid-August places the normal high at 25 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against small deviations in surface wind and urban heat-island amplification that could nudge the recorded maximum either side of that threshold. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$10,421Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and numerical weather models shows Toronto under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting clear skies and peak solar insolation that favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C on August 15. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of peak heating, and potential weak lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario. Historical climatology for mid-August places the normal high at 25 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against small deviations in surface wind and urban heat-island amplification that could nudge the recorded maximum either side of that threshold. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,421Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and numerical weather models shows Toronto under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting clear skies and peak solar insolation that favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C on August 15. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of peak heating, and potential weak lake-breeze moderation from Lake Ontario. Historical climatology for mid-August places the normal high at 25 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against small deviations in surface wind and urban heat-island amplification that could nudge the recorded maximum either side of that threshold. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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