Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15 project a maximum of 28–30°C amid scattered showers and cloud cover, aligning with trader emphasis on the 29°C and 30°C outcomes at combined 62.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical mid-August Pacific high-pressure influence tempered by localized moisture, keeping values near or slightly below the 31.4°C climatological normal rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. Model consensus and ongoing JMA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with any shift in steering patterns or precipitation timing able to push the daily high toward 31°C or hold it at 28°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 15 de agosto?
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 13%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 13%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
24°C or below
$84 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$14 Vol.
1%
27°C
$8 Vol.
5%
28°C
$15 Vol.
13%
29°C
$9 Vol.
35%
30°C
$73 Vol.
24%
31°C
$19 Vol.
16%
32°C
$15 Vol.
4%
33°C
$22 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$28 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15 project a maximum of 28–30°C amid scattered showers and cloud cover, aligning with trader emphasis on the 29°C and 30°C outcomes at combined 62.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical mid-August Pacific high-pressure influence tempered by localized moisture, keeping values near or slightly below the 31.4°C climatological normal rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. Model consensus and ongoing JMA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with any shift in steering patterns or precipitation timing able to push the daily high toward 31°C or hold it at 28°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$305Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15 project a maximum of 28–30°C amid scattered showers and cloud cover, aligning with trader emphasis on the 29°C and 30°C outcomes at combined 62.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical mid-August Pacific high-pressure influence tempered by localized moisture, keeping values near or slightly below the 31.4°C climatological normal rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. Model consensus and ongoing JMA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with any shift in steering patterns or precipitation timing able to push the daily high toward 31°C or hold it at 28°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$305Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15 project a maximum of 28–30°C amid scattered showers and cloud cover, aligning with trader emphasis on the 29°C and 30°C outcomes at combined 62.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical mid-August Pacific high-pressure influence tempered by localized moisture, keeping values near or slightly below the 31.4°C climatological normal rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. Model consensus and ongoing JMA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, with any shift in steering patterns or precipitation timing able to push the daily high toward 31°C or hold it at 28°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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