Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 15 de agosto?
20°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,744 Vol.
$22,744 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
20°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,744 Vol.
$22,744 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
$1,032 Vol.
Não
15°C
$572 Vol.
Não
16°C
$469 Vol.
Não
17°C
$841 Vol.
Não
18°C
$1,931 Vol.
Não
19°C
$6,175 Vol.
Não
20°C
$7,709 Vol.
Sim
21°C
$2,499 Vol.
Não
22°C
$915 Vol.
Não
23°C
$335 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$265 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$22,744Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,744Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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