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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?

ago 17

ago 18

ago 19

ago 17

ago 18

ago 19

27°C 36%

26°C 32%

28°C 18%

25°C 6%

Polymarket
NOVO

27°C 36%

26°C 32%

28°C 18%

25°C 6%

Polymarket
NOVO

23°C ou menos

$61 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$238 Vol.

3%

25°C

$389 Vol.

6%

26°C

$356 Vol.

32%

27°C

$1,253 Vol.

36%

28°C

$319 Vol.

18%

29°C

$113 Vol.

4%

30°C

$587 Vol.

1%

31°C

$66 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$93 Vol.

<1%

33°C ou mais

$688 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18 centering near 26–27°C because short-range forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory show only modest overnight cooling under prevailing summer monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and possible scattered cloud cover limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimum readings close to recent daily lows. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and the urban heat island effect further buffer against sharper drops, while any clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could push the low to 26°C or below. Model consensus remains tight, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,164
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18 centering near 26–27°C because short-range forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory show only modest overnight cooling under prevailing summer monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and possible scattered cloud cover limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimum readings close to recent daily lows. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and the urban heat island effect further buffer against sharper drops, while any clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could push the low to 26°C or below. Model consensus remains tight, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,164
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 36%, followed by "26°C" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?" is "27°C" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 18 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.