Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling alongside high humidity and light easterly winds typical of late summer. This aligns with seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, where historical lows average around 27°C. Trader consensus at 92% for 28°C aggregates these verified meteorological indicators and model consensus. Clearer skies enabling greater heat loss or an atypical influx of cooler air could realistically shift the outcome toward 27°C or lower, though such developments remain unlikely given current patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 19 de agosto?
28°C 93%
27°C 6%
26°C 3.9%
24°C <1%
$28,511 Vol.
$28,511 Vol.
19 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
93%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 93%
27°C 6%
26°C 3.9%
24°C <1%
$28,511 Vol.
$28,511 Vol.
19 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$236 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,472 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,157 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,324 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2,884 Vol.
6%
28°C
$6,759 Vol.
93%
29°C
$3,322 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,723 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling alongside high humidity and light easterly winds typical of late summer. This aligns with seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, where historical lows average around 27°C. Trader consensus at 92% for 28°C aggregates these verified meteorological indicators and model consensus. Clearer skies enabling greater heat loss or an atypical influx of cooler air could realistically shift the outcome toward 27°C or lower, though such developments remain unlikely given current patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$28,511Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling alongside high humidity and light easterly winds typical of late summer. This aligns with seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, where historical lows average around 27°C. Trader consensus at 92% for 28°C aggregates these verified meteorological indicators and model consensus. Clearer skies enabling greater heat loss or an atypical influx of cooler air could realistically shift the outcome toward 27°C or lower, though such developments remain unlikely given current patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,511Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling alongside high humidity and light easterly winds typical of late summer. This aligns with seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, where historical lows average around 27°C. Trader consensus at 92% for 28°C aggregates these verified meteorological indicators and model consensus. Clearer skies enabling greater heat loss or an atypical influx of cooler air could realistically shift the outcome toward 27°C or lower, though such developments remain unlikely given current patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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