**Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C for Tokyo’s peak temperature on August 19, reflecting JMA guidance of mostly cloudy skies and a forecast high of 32°C following 33°C on the 18th.** Seasonal above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High continues, yet increasing cloud cover and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers on the 19th are expected to limit daytime heating compared with clearer prior days. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect sustains elevated readings relative to rural surroundings, while model spreads in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the tight probabilities separating 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 19 de agosto?
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
34%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
25°C or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
5%
29°C
$70 Vol.
10%
30°C
$12 Vol.
26%
31°C
$118 Vol.
34%
32°C
$73 Vol.
25%
33°C
$107 Vol.
6%
34°C
$10 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C for Tokyo’s peak temperature on August 19, reflecting JMA guidance of mostly cloudy skies and a forecast high of 32°C following 33°C on the 18th.**
Seasonal above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High continues, yet increasing cloud cover and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers on the 19th are expected to limit daytime heating compared with clearer prior days. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect sustains elevated readings relative to rural surroundings, while model spreads in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the tight probabilities separating 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$689Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C for Tokyo’s peak temperature on August 19, reflecting JMA guidance of mostly cloudy skies and a forecast high of 32°C following 33°C on the 18th.**
Seasonal above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High continues, yet increasing cloud cover and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers on the 19th are expected to limit daytime heating compared with clearer prior days. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect sustains elevated readings relative to rural surroundings, while model spreads in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the tight probabilities separating 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$689Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C for Tokyo’s peak temperature on August 19, reflecting JMA guidance of mostly cloudy skies and a forecast high of 32°C following 33°C on the 18th.** Seasonal above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High continues, yet increasing cloud cover and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers on the 19th are expected to limit daytime heating compared with clearer prior days. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect sustains elevated readings relative to rural surroundings, while model spreads in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the tight probabilities separating 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions