Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 17 amid persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows typically range from 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and urban heat-island effects in the region. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions, with ENSO-neutral patterns supporting near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures overall. Stronger winds, clearer skies overnight, or delayed rainfall could allow greater cooling toward 26–27°C, while an unexpected surge in monsoon flow might keep readings at or above 29°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de agosto?
28°C 94%
27°C 6%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
NOVO
$35,096 Vol.
NOVO
$35,096 Vol.
17 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
94%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 94%
27°C 6%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
NOVO
$35,096 Vol.
NOVO
$35,096 Vol.
17 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$503 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,517 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,691 Vol.
3%
27°C
$4,441 Vol.
6%
28°C
$9,252 Vol.
94%
29°C
$7,625 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,582 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$496 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 17 amid persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows typically range from 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and urban heat-island effects in the region. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions, with ENSO-neutral patterns supporting near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures overall. Stronger winds, clearer skies overnight, or delayed rainfall could allow greater cooling toward 26–27°C, while an unexpected surge in monsoon flow might keep readings at or above 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$35,096Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 17 amid persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows typically range from 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and urban heat-island effects in the region. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions, with ENSO-neutral patterns supporting near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures overall. Stronger winds, clearer skies overnight, or delayed rainfall could allow greater cooling toward 26–27°C, while an unexpected surge in monsoon flow might keep readings at or above 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,096Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 17 amid persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows typically range from 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and urban heat-island effects in the region. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions, with ENSO-neutral patterns supporting near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures overall. Stronger winds, clearer skies overnight, or delayed rainfall could allow greater cooling toward 26–27°C, while an unexpected surge in monsoon flow might keep readings at or above 29°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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