**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of about 28°C on August 16, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible early in the period.** Typical summer conditions—high humidity, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover—keep overnight lows near seasonal norms of 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures align with this range, while model consensus shows minor spreads arising from exact shower timing and urban heat effects. The near-even split between 28°C (44.5%) and 27°C (44.0%) in market-implied odds reflects this tight forecast band and inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum at the official station. Updated HKO guidance or new model runs ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if conditions deviate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 16 de agosto?
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
26°C 13%
25°C 3%
NOVO
$13,907 Vol.
NOVO
$13,907 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
45%
28°C
44%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
26°C 13%
25°C 3%
NOVO
$13,907 Vol.
NOVO
$13,907 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$488 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$769 Vol.
1%
25°C
$596 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,626 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,295 Vol.
45%
28°C
$4,229 Vol.
44%
29°C
$2,244 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,097 Vol.
1%
31°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$540 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of about 28°C on August 16, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible early in the period.** Typical summer conditions—high humidity, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover—keep overnight lows near seasonal norms of 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures align with this range, while model consensus shows minor spreads arising from exact shower timing and urban heat effects. The near-even split between 28°C (44.5%) and 27°C (44.0%) in market-implied odds reflects this tight forecast band and inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum at the official station. Updated HKO guidance or new model runs ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if conditions deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$13,907Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of about 28°C on August 16, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible early in the period.** Typical summer conditions—high humidity, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover—keep overnight lows near seasonal norms of 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures align with this range, while model consensus shows minor spreads arising from exact shower timing and urban heat effects. The near-even split between 28°C (44.5%) and 27°C (44.0%) in market-implied odds reflects this tight forecast band and inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum at the official station. Updated HKO guidance or new model runs ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if conditions deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,907Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of about 28°C on August 16, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible early in the period.** Typical summer conditions—high humidity, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover—keep overnight lows near seasonal norms of 27–28°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures align with this range, while model consensus shows minor spreads arising from exact shower timing and urban heat effects. The near-even split between 28°C (44.5%) and 27°C (44.0%) in market-implied odds reflects this tight forecast band and inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily minimum at the official station. Updated HKO guidance or new model runs ahead of resolution could shift sentiment if conditions deviate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions