Recent MetService forecasts and model guidance indicate a shift toward cooler southerly airflow over Wellington by August 16, supporting the market’s strong consensus around a 10°C daily maximum. This reflects typical mid-August variability, where the city’s long-term average high sits near 12°C but daily outcomes often range 9–14°C depending on wind direction and cloud cover. Recent days have seen warmer readings of 13–14°C under lighter northerly influences, yet the developing southerlies are expected to cap temperatures, aligning with the 64% implied probability for 10°C and secondary support for 9–11°C outcomes. Updated official guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 16 de agosto?
10°C 64%
11°C 17%
9°C 15%
12°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
15%
10°C
64%
11°C
17%
12°C
3%
13°C
3%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 64%
11°C 17%
9°C 15%
12°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$35 Vol.
1%
8°C
$193 Vol.
3%
9°C
$392 Vol.
15%
10°C
$1,270 Vol.
64%
11°C
$342 Vol.
17%
12°C
$203 Vol.
3%
13°C
$5 Vol.
3%
14°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and model guidance indicate a shift toward cooler southerly airflow over Wellington by August 16, supporting the market’s strong consensus around a 10°C daily maximum. This reflects typical mid-August variability, where the city’s long-term average high sits near 12°C but daily outcomes often range 9–14°C depending on wind direction and cloud cover. Recent days have seen warmer readings of 13–14°C under lighter northerly influences, yet the developing southerlies are expected to cap temperatures, aligning with the 64% implied probability for 10°C and secondary support for 9–11°C outcomes. Updated official guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,042Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and model guidance indicate a shift toward cooler southerly airflow over Wellington by August 16, supporting the market’s strong consensus around a 10°C daily maximum. This reflects typical mid-August variability, where the city’s long-term average high sits near 12°C but daily outcomes often range 9–14°C depending on wind direction and cloud cover. Recent days have seen warmer readings of 13–14°C under lighter northerly influences, yet the developing southerlies are expected to cap temperatures, aligning with the 64% implied probability for 10°C and secondary support for 9–11°C outcomes. Updated official guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,042Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts and model guidance indicate a shift toward cooler southerly airflow over Wellington by August 16, supporting the market’s strong consensus around a 10°C daily maximum. This reflects typical mid-August variability, where the city’s long-term average high sits near 12°C but daily outcomes often range 9–14°C depending on wind direction and cloud cover. Recent days have seen warmer readings of 13–14°C under lighter northerly influences, yet the developing southerlies are expected to cap temperatures, aligning with the 64% implied probability for 10°C and secondary support for 9–11°C outcomes. Updated official guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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