Recent NWS forecasts indicate a persistent marine layer with widespread low clouds and patchy fog limiting daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin on August 15, supporting the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F. This setup stems from a cooling trend driven by coastal onshore flow and higher-than-normal cloud cover, keeping highs well below the typical mid-August average of 80-85°F at downtown and airport stations. Model consensus shows gradual afternoon clearing but emphasizes uncertainty in the exact timing and extent of marine influence, which could shift readings into the mid-70s or briefly higher. Official resolution will hinge on the highest observed temperature at the designated reporting site, with updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected to refine probabilities ahead of the close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles no dia 15 de agosto?
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 6%
72-73°F 5%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F ou mais alta
<1%
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 6%
72-73°F 5%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F ou mais alta
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS forecasts indicate a persistent marine layer with widespread low clouds and patchy fog limiting daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin on August 15, supporting the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F. This setup stems from a cooling trend driven by coastal onshore flow and higher-than-normal cloud cover, keeping highs well below the typical mid-August average of 80-85°F at downtown and airport stations. Model consensus shows gradual afternoon clearing but emphasizes uncertainty in the exact timing and extent of marine influence, which could shift readings into the mid-70s or briefly higher. Official resolution will hinge on the highest observed temperature at the designated reporting site, with updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected to refine probabilities ahead of the close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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